Publications

Selected peer-reviewed articles.

R. Kuo (*) and K.-C. Tseng, "An Entropy–Divergence Framework for Quantifying Predictability of Liouville flow" (submitted to GRL).
Tseng, K.-C. et al., "A semi-analytical solution of aerial rivers geographic distribution" (in preparation).
Weng et al., "Approaching riverine roles of flying rivers" (Submitted to Nature Water).
Chang C.-Y. (*), K.-C. Tseng, and Y.-C. Kan, "Moisture and Persistence of Annular Mode: The Role of Large-Scale Tropical Variability" (in preparation).
Hsu, S.-P. (*), H.-J. Tai, C.-H. Sui, Y.-C. Kan(*), and K.-C. Tseng, "The Roles of Shallow Convection and Cloud-Radiative Feedback in Convectively-Coupled Kelvin Waves" (in preparation).
Xiao, H.-M., K.-C. Tseng, J.-Y. Yu, H.-H. Hsu, T.-H. Lee, M.-H. Lo, "The Enhanced Teleconnection of Maritime Continent Deforestation on North Pacific Climate During La Nina Conditions" (submitted to Journal of Climate).
Tseng K.-C., Ray Kuo(*) and Yi-An Feng(*), "Solving the Analytical Solution of Ensemble Forecast with Data-driven Liouville equation" (submitted to JAMES).
Tseng K.-C. and co-authors, "Skillful forecasts of springtime CONUS tornado activity up to a year in advance" (in preparation).

Loi B(*)., K.-C. Tseng and C.-C. Wu, "Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Track Density in S2S Reforecast" npj Clim Atmos Sci 8(1) 24.

Schmitt, J. (*), Tseng, K.-C., Hughes M., and Johnson, N., "Illuminating snow droughts: The future of Western United States snowpack in the SPEAR large ensemble" Journal of Climate, 129, e2023JD039754.
Tseng K.-C. and Y.-H. Ho(*), "The Subseasoanl Predictability of North Pacific Subtropical High and the 2020 Record-breaking Event" npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 6, 1-9.
Zhang, W., Xiang, B., Tseng, K.-C, Johnson, N., Harris L., Delworth T., "Subseasonal prediction of wintertime atmospheric rivers in the GFDL SPEAR model" npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. (accepted).

Bower, C. and coauthors, "Atmospheric River Sequences as Indicators of Hydrologic Hazard in Present and Future Climates" Earth's Future (submitted/published).
Jong, B.-T. and coauthors, "Investigating Observed and Projected Increases in Extreme Precipitation over the Northeast United States using High-resolution Climate Model Simulations" npj Clim Atmos Sci 6(18).

Tseng K.-C. and co-authors, "When will humanity notice its influences on atmospheric rivers?" J. Geophys. Res. 127 e2021JD036044.
Jia L. and co-authors, "Skillful seasonal prediction of North American summertime hot extremes" J. Clim. 35(13), 4331--4345.
Bushuk B. and co-authors, "Mechanisms of Regional Artic Sea Ice Predictability in Dynamical Seasonal Forecast Systems" J. Clim. 35(13), 4207--4231.

Chen Y.-L. and co-authors, "Effect of the MJO on East Asian winter rainfall as revealed by a SVD analysis" J. Clim. 34(25), 9729--9746.
Zhang L. and co-authors, "Using large ensembles to elucidate the possible roles of Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation in the Southern Ocean 36-yr SST trend" J. Clim. (in press).
Tseng K.-C. and co-authors, "Are multi-seasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible?" Geophys. Res. Lett 48 e2021GL094000.
Bushuk B. and co-authors, "Seasonal prediction and predictability of regional Antarctic sea ice" J. Clim. 34(15), 6207--6233.
Zhang G. and co-authors, "Seasonal Predictability of Baroclinic Wave Activity" npj Clim Atmos Sci 4(50).
Tseng K.-C., N. C. Johnson., E. D. Maloney, E. A. Barnes, and S. B. Kapnick, "Mapping Large-scale Climate Variability to Hydrological Extremes: An Application of the Linear Inverse Model to Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction" J. Clim. 34(11), 4207--4225.
Tseng K.-C., E. A. Barnes, and E. D. Maloney, "The important role of the MJO for extratropical variability in observations and the CMIP5 climate models" (submitted to JGR-Atmosphere).

Dr. Kai-Chih Tseng